Tag: Mississippi

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Obama is more often right, but McCain plays better, mostly

[editor's note, by Ross Smith] Doyle Srader, former Baylor debater and nationally prominent debate coach, is now Assistant Professor of Communication at Northwest Christian University.

This is Petty and Cacioppo's model of elaboration-likelihood in action. Obama is taking the central route, and McCain the peripheral route.

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Ole Miss Debate Preview

Tune in by 9:00 p.m. Eastern on your TV, participate via many means on the internet, and/or the liveblog with me and other debate geeks at debateScoop and elsewhere for tonight's opening salvo in the debate series leading up to the November general election. The University of Mississippi is the host site, all networks will carry the debate, and Jim Lehrer of PBS is the moderator.

Below the fold we will dive into a number of weeds for people who, like me, study and care about debates.

But even if you are not into the details, several items are worth noting.

First, McCain's Ploy (no debate unless bailout deal) has been exposed for what it is, most damningly by the internet ad declaring him the debate victor that he was running well before he announced he would debate at all.

Second, the economy and the "bailout" is likely to be the first topic tonight even though this was originally billed as a foreign policy and national security debate.

Third, the CW ("common wisdom") while often close enough to accurate on debates (it's circular -- since the media both defines CW and has the biggest influence on perceptions it's hard to throw CW off track), is way off base in one important respect: without exception I have read, even from people who should know better, that Obama needs to be concise and pithy and that nuance will get him in trouble. Sound familiar? The problem with that analysis is that it ignores the very first item every debate coach and debater considers: format. Tonight's format allows extended discussion and does not confine the debaters to ninety, sixty, or thirty second fragmented answers. The CW is based on the early primary debates when up to ten candidates at a time were vying for time and the formats were devised to account for the multiple candidates and multiple questions. Tonight's format has nine segments of ten minutes each and the candidate who best uses that format boosts their chances to "win" (more about what that means below).

Below the fold, let's delve more deeply into all of the variables that might influence tonight's debating and its effect.