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First Thoughts on Round 3 of the 2008 Presidential Debate

As I collect my thoughts for this first impression of the 3rd and final presidential debate of 2008, I am invigorated. In many ways this was the closest we've come to an actual debate.  It was intense, compelling, and should offer voters a clear choice between the candidates on the issues that matter the most to them.  I haven't listened to the spin room or the punditry, so I have little idea what will actually play in the morning.  However, if this was a "win or go home" moment for McCain, he didn't win.  In fact, he lost and lost badly.  When he needed to persuade us to vote for him, he left us with a feeling that we might not even like him.

Substantively, Obama evinced a seriousness of thought as well as a tenor and tone that should "seal the deal" for many undecided voters. As I said after the second debate, McCain appeared that night to be in the middle of a strategy shift.   This debate offered further evidence that the fluctuations in strategy have taken their toll on candidate McCain.  In this debate, more than any other, he seemed...surly and unlikable.   He had one shining moment where we could feel a genuineness start to percolate when he looked at Obama and said, "I am not George Bush."  Unfortunately, that moment of authentic emotion was lost in the haughtiness, condescension, and disagreeableness that followed.

More below the fold:

Tone (verbal and nonverbal): I imagine there will be a great deal of discussion about the tone.  Obama was measured.  McCain was angry or feisty.  I didn't watch a channel that showed many split screens, so I suspect that those who saw the split simultaneously will have had this effect amplified.  The critical question to ask is how does tone refract upon the issues and/or what does it reveal about how one would govern?

Pulled punches: The story line going into this debate (like the last one) was the McCain was going to drop the gloves or in his words "whip his you know what."  Instead, he seemed to pull his punches even while he was dropping his gloves.  If he wanted to cast doubt on Obama's character, he didn't do it.  Beginning by saying he didn't "care" about a "washed up terrorist" and then invoking Hillary Clinton's primary charge about Ayers as his link, doesn't cut it.  If he really wanted to go this route, he needed to own it and should have been willing to say, "I do care and my problems with Senator Obama are..." Regardless, he failed to deliver on his promise, and when you boast about your strategy, you've got to back it up.  

Joe Audience: We ought to be able to know something about where the campaigns are at by reflecting on whom the candidates are speaking to.  Throughout, I kept trying to figure out whom McCain imagined himself speaking to.  I was, in short, puzzled.  It was clear that Obama's audience was the small pocket of largely undecided middle class voters.  Persistent references to the middle class, as well as a steady effort to track toward the middle on substantive issues and in the direction of specific demographics revealed who Obama was speaking to.  McCain on the other hand seemed to be fluctuating wildly between "Joe the Plumber" and the conservative base.  They are not one in the same.  Although McCain was effective at connecting his substantive policy positions to the latter group, he labored to go beyond pandering for the former.  Don't get me wrong.  The reference to "Joe" was strategic and it was planned.  The problem was that he ran it into the ground, thereby turning a strength into a liability.  By the end, when it came to connecting Joe to the issues, McCain appeared distant, if not mocking.  This became abundantly clear after the first dozen references.  At the end of the night, is the human face of Joe the Plumber illustrative?

Moderator: Bob Schieffer was mostly outstanding this evening.  To begin with, he wasn't the story.  His questions were thoughtful, well timed, and began with substantive premises.  He managed the time well to cover the issues that needed to be covered.  More importantly, he was genuinely interested in generating clash.  This was evident from the first question which was designed to have the candidates "compare" their economic policies.  Comparisons are the essence of a good debate, and the invitation to focused clash was a welcome move by this moderator.  He should also be applauded for following up when McCain failed to answer his first questions.  Unfortunately, he choose to do less of this as McCain ran the clock out on discussion time all the while layering in new arguments.  He could have picked a few more of those moments, instead of moving on to the next different item on his agenda.

Inside baseball: One of the strategic weaknesses for McCain was that so many of his offensive arguments were short and shrill.  There is the campaign that those of us who follow these things know about and there is the campaign that those who tune in occasionally know about.  So many of McCain's offensive arguments were manifest as jabs that would be missed unless you've followed this campaign closely.  The preference for efficiency only works if you've got an audience closely tracking the back and forth on a day-to-day and even hour-to-hour basis. ACORN is one example among many in this regard.

Closing statements: This was the first debate in which there were official closing statements.  In short, McCain's was more about McCain and Obama's was more about the middle class and the premise of his candidacy.  If this was his closing argument, Obama sewed together the thematic threads with a certain kind of resonance.  

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We should all take pride in the fact that we once again displayed for the world the power of our democracy, and reaffirmed the great American ideal that this is a nation where anything is possible. It didn't matter who they were or where they came from; what they looked like or what party they belonged to - they came out and cast their ballot because they believed that in this country, our destiny is not written for us, but by us.

The election is over and America has appointed a new leader. The people have chosen "change" by electing Barack Obama for the next President of the United States. Whether the United States changes for the better or for the worse, there is no doubt that change is in store for our country. It's clear that Americans believe Obama will bring a positive change to our country. We've heard many of the promises he has made to the U.S. from lowering taxes for the middle class to putting a timeline on the war in Iraq and trimming the federal budget "line by line." However, Obama also supports the elimination of the payday loan industry. He believes that eradicating the payday loan industry will protect low-income and families in general from falling victims to predatory lenders. On higher ground, it will be a violation to our financial freedom if the option to utilize affordable payday loans is wiped out. Threatening our rights to financial freedom is not a great start to creating positive change.

Click to read more on Payday Loans

by LisaP on 11/10/2008 05:51:24 AM EST